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Macro intelligence, quantified.

Real-time nowcasting dashboard, AI-generated research reports triggered by alpha inputs, and a conviction-weighted model portfolio — built on the global liquidity impulse framework.

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◎ Government-Verified Data◆ 6 Central Banks Tracked▲ AI-Powered Research□ 34 Live Positions
GLI Impulse—
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GLI Impulse—
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The Platform

Five pillars of macro intelligence

VegaMacro synthesises central bank balance sheets, high-frequency economic data, and AI-driven alpha inputs into a unified analytical framework.

◎REAL-TIME · LIVE

Nowcast Dashboard

Global liquidity impulse, inflation nowcast, and growth proxies — orthogonalised z-scores from FRED.

FRED · Marketstack · CoinGecko
▼ Click to expand
◆EVENT-DRIVEN

AI Research Engine

Claude-powered research reports auto-generated from FOMC minutes, X posts, earnings calls, and policy papers.

Claude AI · Marketstack · FRED
▼ Click to expand
▲14 THEMATICS · 34 HOLDINGS

Model Portfolio

Conviction-weighted portfolio across AI, defence, decoupling, power, automation, crypto, and hard assets.

Marketstack
▼ Click to expand
□HEDGE FUND GRADE

Analytical Framework

Rules-based reallocation engine with 9 weighted decision factors, 6 automatic rebalance triggers, and conviction scoring.

Proprietary Models
▼ Click to expand
⚡14 THEMATICS · LIVE

Alpha Engine

Factor-adjusted thematic scoring. Maps each investment theme against 5 macro pillars to generate autonomous rebalance signals.

Alpha Engine v2 · FRED · Marketstack
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Central Banks Tracked
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Thematic Verticals
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Model Portfolio Holdings
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Decision Factors
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Days Live
Verified Sources
FREDFederal Reserve
BLSBureau of Labor Statistics
BEABureau of Economic Analysis
CoinGeckoCrypto Markets
MarketstackEquities & ETFs
🔒Stripe Secured
Core Thesis

The orthogonalised liquidity impulse drives risk asset returns

VegaMacro is built on original research demonstrating that the marginal change in global liquidity — not the level — predicts business cycles and cross-asset returns.

Our Global Liquidity Index (GLI) decomposes central bank balance sheets into stance versus impulse using expanding-window z-scores and real-time orthogonalisation. The impulse measure consistently outperforms level-based approaches across Bitcoin, NASDAQ, commodities, gold, and bonds.

Based on M.Sc. Finance thesis, Copenhagen Business School — "Global Liquidity as a Predictor of Business Cycle and Asset Returns"
GLI Components
Fed Balance Sheet
Weekly−
ECB Balance Sheet
Weekly+
PBoC (FX Reserves)
Monthly+
BOJ Balance Sheet
Monthly+
Treasury General Account
Weekly−
Reverse Repo Facility
Daily+
About VegaMacro

The macro research platform built for alpha, not pageviews

Why This Exists

Most macro research platforms fall into two camps: expensive institutional terminals that require six-figure budgets, or retail newsletters that package consensus as insight. VegaMacro was built to close this gap.

We combine original quantitative research — specifically, a proprietary Global Liquidity Index framework based on central bank balance sheet decomposition — with real-time data, AI-powered analysis, and conviction-weighted model portfolios. The result is hedge-fund-grade macro intelligence at a fraction of institutional cost.

Every position has a thesis. Every thesis has a kill condition. Every signal is timestamped and scored. Full transparency, no cherry-picking.

How It Works
01
Data Ingestion
35+ FRED series update automatically: central bank balance sheets (Fed, ECB, BOJ, PBoC, SNB), M2 money supply, bank credit, yield curves, and real-time market price feeds via Marketstack and CoinGecko.
02
Regime Classification
Expanding-window z-scores decompose global liquidity into stance (level) vs impulse (rate of change). The impulse signal — orthogonalised against stance — is the primary driver of cross-asset return predictions, validated with out-of-sample R² up to 28%.
03
Conviction Scoring
Each position is scored 1-10 based on: (1) regime alignment — does the current liquidity impulse support this trade? (2) catalyst proximity — are identifiable events approaching? (3) positioning divergence — is consensus on the wrong side? (4) data confirmation — do leading indicators confirm the thesis?
04
Automated Rebalancing
A rules-based reallocation engine monitors 7 weighted factors (liquidity, credit health, inflation mix, political cycle, sentiment, leverage, and structural themes) with 6 automatic triggers that force position adjustments when conditions change.
What Makes Us Different
Impulse, not level
Most liquidity dashboards show central bank balance sheet levels. We decompose into impulse — the marginal change that actually predicts asset returns.
Thesis-driven, not signal-chasing
Every position has an explicit thesis, catalyst tracker, and kill condition defined before entry. Not pattern-matching yesterday's chart.
Independent & data-driven
The best alpha lives in the gap between what data says and what markets are positioned for. We systematically identify and exploit these divergences.
Second-order thinking
We don't buy the hyperscalers — we buy their bottlenecks: the power infrastructure, cooling systems, and supply chains they can't avoid.
Full transparency
Every forecast scored against consensus. Every allocation change timestamped. No survivorship bias, no retroactive editing.
Strategy, not just execution
Trade Republic and Scalable Capital give you a cheap place to click buy. They don't tell you what to buy, when to exit, or how to size it. VegaMacro is the research and allocation layer that sits on top of any broker — we're not competing on commissions, we're solving the harder problem those apps leave to you.
THE FOUNDERS

VegaMacro is built by Ben Pfeiffer (Co-Founder & CEO) and Florian Nolte (Co-Founder & CTO). Ben Pfeiffer — M.Sc. Finance & Investments from Copenhagen Business School with an MBA exchange at UC Berkeley Haas. Professional experience spans fixed income trading at Deutsche Bank Global Markets, global macro analysis at a global macro hedge fund, portfolio management at a leading European asset manager, and investment advisory. The GLI framework that powers the platform is based on his M.Sc. thesis research. Florian Nolte — M.Sc. Business Analytics from NOVA School of Business and Economics (thesis on multi-agent AI frameworks for workflow automation), Cum Laude B.Sc. Economics from Maastricht University (top 5%), with a visiting term at the University of Florida. Consulting experience at Capgemini Invent (Growth Strategy), Commerzbank (Corporate Strategy), and zeb (Restructuring & OPEX). Leads the platform's technical architecture and AI agent systems. The platform was born from gaps identified throughout these journeys: institutional-grade liquidity analysis and regime-based allocation, made accessible and transparent.

Pricing

Choose your access level

Free

€0/mo

Follow the macro narrative. Delayed data.

✓ Weekly macro briefing email
✓ Delayed dashboard (48h lag)
✓ Public forecast scorecard
✓ Monthly portfolio snapshot
Start Free

Retail

€19/mo

Essential tools for informed retail investors.

✓ Real-time nowcast dashboard
✓ Daily alpha feed (top 5 signals)
✓ Retail model portfolio (view only)
✓ Economic calendar with nowcasts
✓ Weekly AI research report
✓ Email alerts on regime changes
Subscribe Now
RECOMMENDED

Analyst

€49/mo

Full platform access. Built for serious traders.

✓ Everything in Retail
✓ Unlimited AI research reports
✓ Full alpha feed (all signals + 2nd order)
✓ Retail + L/S portfolio with thesis & stops
✓ Conviction scoring + risk/reward
✓ Real-time portfolio-news mapping
✓ Forecast accuracy tracker
✓ Priority email support
Subscribe Now
EXCLUSIVE

Institutional

€399/mo

Designed for hedge funds, family offices, and asset managers who require direct access to our quantitative edge.

✓ Everything in Analyst
✓ AI Quant strategy access — systematic signals across macro, rates & FX
✓ Personalized onboarding with our research team
✓ Full methodology & model transparency briefing
✓ Global Macro HF portfolio (futures/FX)
✓ REST API data access (JSON) for integration
✓ Bespoke alpha input feeds & custom signals
✓ Portfolio attribution & risk analytics
✓ Quarterly strategy review & regime outlook
✓ Dedicated institutional coverage analyst
Subscribe Now
EXCLUSIVE

Enterprise

€599/mo

For organizations requiring full platform capabilities with dedicated onboarding, API integration, and white-glove support.

✓ Everything in Institutional
✓ Personalized onboarding & implementation support
✓ Full REST API access with dedicated endpoints
✓ Custom data feeds & signal integration
✓ Priority support with dedicated account manager
✓ Multi-seat team access & admin dashboard
✓ Custom reporting & compliance exports
✓ SLA-backed uptime & data delivery guarantees
Subscribe Now
Secure payment via Stripe · Apple Pay · Google Pay · All major cards accepted
Cancel anytime · No lock-in · 7-day free trial for Analyst tier
Broker vs. Strategy

Trade Republic and Scalable Capital are excellent at cheap, fast execution. They're not built to tell you what to buy — that's a different product.

Trade Republic / ScalableVegaMacro
Model portfolios with live buy/sell signals—✓
Macro liquidity framework (GLI)—✓
Institutional risk metrics (Sharpe, Sortino, regime)—✓
Long/short pairs & thematic research—✓
Commission-free execution✓via any broker

VegaMacro is not a broker and does not execute trades — it is the decision layer that pairs with the broker you already use.

Newsletter

Weekly Macro Intelligence

Free weekly briefing: liquidity regime updates, alpha triggers, portfolio adjustments, and research previews.

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VegaMacro AI
Macro Research Assistant · Powered by Claude
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VegaMacro AI
Ask about the macro framework, portfolio positions, GLI signals, or market views. Powered by Claude with live data from our nowcasting engine.
VegaMacro AI · Not financial advice· 3 msg left today

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